Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S.: Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions

Ulas Im; Jørgen Brandt; Camilla Geels; Kaj Mantzius Hansen; Jesper Heile Christensen; Mikael Skou Andersen; Efisio Solazzo; Ioannis Kioutsioukis; Ummugulsum Alyuz; Alessandra Balzarini; Rocio Baro; Roberto Bellasio; Roberto Bianconi; Johannes Bieser; Augustin Colette; Gabriele Curci; Aidan Farrow; Johannes Flemming; Andrea Fraser; Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero; Nutthida Kitwiroon; Ciao Kai Liang; Uarporn Nopmongcol; Guido Pirovano; Luca Pozzoli; Marje Prank; Rebecca Rose; Ranjeet Sokhi; Paolo Tuccella; Alper Unal; Marta Garcia Vivanco; Jason West; Greg Yarwood; Christian Hogrefe; Stefano Galmarini

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73

Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S. Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions

Ulas Im, Jørgen Brandt, Camilla Geels, Kaj Mantzius Hansen, Jesper Heile Christensen, Mikael Skou Andersen, Efisio Solazzo, Ioannis Kioutsioukis, Ummugulsum Alyuz, Alessandra Balzarini, Rocio Baro, Roberto Bellasio, Roberto Bianconi, Johannes Bieser, Augustin Colette, Gabriele Curci, Aidan Farrow, Johannes Flemming, Andrea Fraser, Pedro Jimenez-GuerreroNutthida Kitwiroon, Ciao Kai Liang, Uarporn Nopmongcol, Guido Pirovano, Luca Pozzoli, Marje Prank, Rebecca Rose, Ranjeet Sokhi, Paolo Tuccella, Alper Unal, Marta Garcia Vivanco, Jason West, Greg Yarwood, Christian Hogrefe, Stefano Galmarini

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

Abstract

The impact of air pollution on premature mortality in Europe and the United States (U.S.) in 2010 is modelled by a multi-model ensemble of regional models in the framework of the third phase of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII3). Introducing 20% emission reductions both globally and regionally in Europe, North America and East Asia were performed in order to calculate the domestic and foreign contributions to air quality and related premature mortality. Total premature mortality was estimated to be 414 000 in Europe and 160 000 in the U.S., using multi-model mean pollutant concentrations. The number of premature mortality cases calculated using concentration inputs from different air quality models can vary by up to a factor of three. Results show that the domestic emissions have the largest impacts on premature death, while foreign sources are a minor contributor to adverse impacts of air pollution.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI
Editors	Clemens Mensink, Wanmin Gong, Amir Hakami
Publisher	Springer
Pages	461-467
Number of pages	7
ISBN (Print)	9783030220549
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73
Publication status	Published - 2020
Externally published	Yes
Event	36th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application, ITM 2018 - Ottawa, Canada Duration: 14 May 2018 → 18 May 2018

Publication series

Name	Springer Proceedings in Complexity
ISSN (Print)	2213-8684
ISSN (Electronic)	2213-8692

Conference

Conference	36th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application, ITM 2018
Country/Territory	Canada
City	Ottawa
Period	14/05/18 → 18/05/18

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73

Cite this

Im, U., Brandt, J., Geels, C., Hansen, K. M., Christensen, J. H., Andersen, M. S., Solazzo, E., Kioutsioukis, I., Alyuz, U., Balzarini, A., Baro, R., Bellasio, R., Bianconi, R., Bieser, J., Colette, A., Curci, G., Farrow, A., Flemming, J., Fraser, A., ... Galmarini, S. (2020). Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S. Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions. In C. Mensink, W. Gong, & A. Hakami (Eds.), Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI (pp. 461-467). (Springer Proceedings in Complexity). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73

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title = "Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S.: Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions",

abstract = "The impact of air pollution on premature mortality in Europe and the United States (U.S.) in 2010 is modelled by a multi-model ensemble of regional models in the framework of the third phase of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII3). Introducing 20% emission reductions both globally and regionally in Europe, North America and East Asia were performed in order to calculate the domestic and foreign contributions to air quality and related premature mortality. Total premature mortality was estimated to be 414 000 in Europe and 160 000 in the U.S., using multi-model mean pollutant concentrations. The number of premature mortality cases calculated using concentration inputs from different air quality models can vary by up to a factor of three. Results show that the domestic emissions have the largest impacts on premature death, while foreign sources are a minor contributor to adverse impacts of air pollution.",

author = "Ulas Im and J{\o}rgen Brandt and Camilla Geels and Hansen, {Kaj Mantzius} and Christensen, {Jesper Heile} and Andersen, {Mikael Skou} and Efisio Solazzo and Ioannis Kioutsioukis and Ummugulsum Alyuz and Alessandra Balzarini and Rocio Baro and Roberto Bellasio and Roberto Bianconi and Johannes Bieser and Augustin Colette and Gabriele Curci and Aidan Farrow and Johannes Flemming and Andrea Fraser and Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero and Nutthida Kitwiroon and Liang, {Ciao Kai} and Uarporn Nopmongcol and Guido Pirovano and Luca Pozzoli and Marje Prank and Rebecca Rose and Ranjeet Sokhi and Paolo Tuccella and Alper Unal and Vivanco, {Marta Garcia} and Jason West and Greg Yarwood and Christian Hogrefe and Stefano Galmarini",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020.; 36th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application, ITM 2018 ; Conference date: 14-05-2018 Through 18-05-2018",

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language = "English",

isbn = "9783030220549",

series = "Springer Proceedings in Complexity",

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Im, U, Brandt, J, Geels, C, Hansen, KM, Christensen, JH, Andersen, MS, Solazzo, E, Kioutsioukis, I, Alyuz, U, Balzarini, A, Baro, R, Bellasio, R, Bianconi, R, Bieser, J, Colette, A, Curci, G, Farrow, A, Flemming, J, Fraser, A, Jimenez-Guerrero, P, Kitwiroon, N, Liang, CK, Nopmongcol, U, Pirovano, G, Pozzoli, L, Prank, M, Rose, R, Sokhi, R, Tuccella, P, Unal, A, Vivanco, MG, West, J, Yarwood, G, Hogrefe, C & Galmarini, S 2020, Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S. Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions. in C Mensink, W Gong & A Hakami (eds), Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI. Springer Proceedings in Complexity, Springer, pp. 461-467, 36th International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modeling and its Application, ITM 2018, Ottawa, Canada, 14/05/18. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73

Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S. Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions. / Im, Ulas; Brandt, Jørgen; Geels, Camilla et al.
Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI. ed. / Clemens Mensink; Wanmin Gong; Amir Hakami. Springer, 2020. p. 461-467 (Springer Proceedings in Complexity).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

TY - GEN

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AU - Im, Ulas

AU - Brandt, Jørgen

AU - Geels, Camilla

AU - Hansen, Kaj Mantzius

AU - Christensen, Jesper Heile

AU - Andersen, Mikael Skou

AU - Solazzo, Efisio

AU - Kioutsioukis, Ioannis

AU - Alyuz, Ummugulsum

AU - Balzarini, Alessandra

AU - Baro, Rocio

AU - Bellasio, Roberto

AU - Bianconi, Roberto

AU - Bieser, Johannes

AU - Colette, Augustin

AU - Curci, Gabriele

AU - Farrow, Aidan

AU - Flemming, Johannes

AU - Fraser, Andrea

AU - Jimenez-Guerrero, Pedro

AU - Kitwiroon, Nutthida

AU - Liang, Ciao Kai

AU - Nopmongcol, Uarporn

AU - Pirovano, Guido

AU - Pozzoli, Luca

AU - Prank, Marje

AU - Rose, Rebecca

AU - Sokhi, Ranjeet

AU - Tuccella, Paolo

AU - Unal, Alper

AU - Vivanco, Marta Garcia

AU - West, Jason

AU - Yarwood, Greg

AU - Hogrefe, Christian

AU - Galmarini, Stefano

PY - 2020

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AB - The impact of air pollution on premature mortality in Europe and the United States (U.S.) in 2010 is modelled by a multi-model ensemble of regional models in the framework of the third phase of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII3). Introducing 20% emission reductions both globally and regionally in Europe, North America and East Asia were performed in order to calculate the domestic and foreign contributions to air quality and related premature mortality. Total premature mortality was estimated to be 414 000 in Europe and 160 000 in the U.S., using multi-model mean pollutant concentrations. The number of premature mortality cases calculated using concentration inputs from different air quality models can vary by up to a factor of three. Results show that the domestic emissions have the largest impacts on premature death, while foreign sources are a minor contributor to adverse impacts of air pollution.

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Im U, Brandt J, Geels C, Hansen KM, Christensen JH, Andersen MS et al. Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S. Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions. In Mensink C, Gong W, Hakami A, editors, Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI. Springer. 2020. p. 461-467. (Springer Proceedings in Complexity). doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73